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More rain is keeping a close eye on Los Angeles as the parade of SoCal storms continues

Don’t get rid of that warning just yet: even more rain is expected to hit Los Angeles on Thursday, continuing with a low-level start and stop.

About half an inch to an inch of rain is forecast to fall in all coastal and rural areas of Los Angeles County. While not nearly as forceful as the storm that swept the region over the weekend, the rain could be heavy enough to force the cancellation of outdoor events, according to the national service office in Oxnard.

The highest amounts of rain, in the region of 1 to 2 inches, are expected in the mountains and mountains.

There is a 10% to 20% chance of rain Thursday morning in Los Angeles County, but that will increase to 60% to 70% in the afternoon, and 80% to 100% in the evening. There’s also a 60% to 70% chance of rain Friday morning, and a 30% to 50% chance later on Friday.

Shows could continue all the way through Saturday morning in La County, but the rest of the weekend is “expected to be dry but cool,” the weather service said. The rest of Thanksgiving week is expected, and temperatures will warm, with many areas in the mid-60s to upper 70s, the weather service said.

It’s possible that Thursday’s storm will do more good than harm, helping to continue to put more money into the fall fire season. But the rain can cause flooding of minor roads and cause some rocklides and mudslides, and ice and snow on mountain roads.

And there’s still a small chance – about 10% to 20% – that rain prices could double as much as widely assumed.

Uncertainty is due to the nature of the storm, which is motivated by the “cut-off-low,” which means that it is cut off from the jet stream and spins can be taken at high speed, throwing more rain than expected.

Heavy rains may increase in some areas, forecasters said. There is a 3-in-5 chance that rainfall amounts of half an inch per hour could develop between Pasadena and the border of LA and Orange Counties from 10 PM Friday.

Rainfall of half an inch or more poses the risk of mudslides and debris flows.

A debris flow is a type of soil erosion that occurs when heavy rain begins to rush down and pick up mud and debris. Smaller debris flows can cover streets and roads in muck, while larger debris flows can send walls and cars traveling at speeds up to 35 mph and send a wall of mud crashing into homes and businesses.

“While the overall risk of a shit scar debris flow is low, it is not zero,” the weather service said.

This latest storm is not expected to bring snow to the grape section of the 5 Freeway, which reaches an elevation of 4,144 feet at Tejon Pass.

But heavy, wet snow and accumulations of up to 8 inches are possible above 6,000 feet for the San Gabriel area in the county, including Mt. Baldy and Wrightwood. A Winter Storm Watch is expected between Thursday afternoon and Saturday morning.

Heavy snow may begin to fall in the early morning in the mountains of San Bernardino and Riverside Counties, including a large bear, with 2 to 6 inches possible at 6,500 feet; 6 to 12 inches at 7,000 to 8,000 feet; and 12 to 18 inches above 8,000 feet. A winter storm watch for that area is in effect Thursday morning through Saturday morning.

In Orange County, San Diego County and the Inland State, showers are expected to start early in the afternoon and become heavy and clear Thursday night and Friday morning.

Thunderstorms will be a feature at this time, the weather service office in San Diego said.

The recent parade of storms has improved California’s usual wet fall, greatly reducing the risk of wildfires and possibly bringing the season to an end.

From the beginning of the water year on Oct. 1, 4.89 inches of rain fell in Downtown La – five times the average for this time of year, and one-third of the annual rainfall. Last year at this time, only 0.07 of an inch had fallen since the start of the water year.

Forecasters say it takes 3 to 4 low-level rains to successfully end the peak fire season in southern California.

In November alone, 3.48 inches of rain fell in Downtown La – About 10 times the average for this point in a month. That’s the wettest November for Downtown La in more than 40 years, following in the footsteps of 1982, when 4.41 inches fell.

The wettest November on record for Downtown La occurred in 1965, when 9.68 inches fell.

This November has been the wettest at Santa Barbara Airport since records were first kept in 1941, according to meteorologist John Dumas of Oxnard’s Weather Service office.

The weather service said 8.42 inches of rain fell there. That puts this November out of 20 calendar months ever recorded at the airport, Dumas said.

Over the weekend, Santa Barbara County roads were covered in mud and trees were uprooted amid heavy rain, but no major injuries were reported.

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